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June 2025 Maui Real Estate Market Update

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June 2025 Maui Real Estate Market Update

A Market Evolving—More Options, More Leverage, and a Shift in Strategy

As we reach the midpoint of 2025, Maui’s real estate market continues to shift toward more favorable conditions for buyers. Inventory is up, days on market are rising, and condo price corrections are creating clear opportunities.

But this isn’t a frozen market. Well-positioned properties are still moving—especially those priced right from day one. Today’s buyers are selective, data-driven, and patient—but they’re still writing offers when they see value. In this climate, skilled representation and strategic negotiation are everything.

📊 June 2025 Market Stats

Maui Single-Family Homes

📉 Median sales price: $1,315,000 (–5.7% YoY)

📈 Average sales price: $2,215,481 (+32.9%, driven by luxury sales)

📉 New listings: 86 (–23.9%)

📉 Closed sales: 66 (–1.5%)

📉 Pending sales: 50 (–3.8%)

📈 Active inventory: 442 homes (+25.9%)

📈 Average DOM: 143 days (+21.2%)

📈 Months of supply: 8.1 (+42.1%)

📉 % of list price received: 96.0% (–3.0%)

What it means:

Single-family home prices are softening slightly, but luxury sales are keeping averages high. Buyers are negotiating more, and sellers should expect longer timelines unless pricing is competitive and presentation is strong.

Maui Condos

📉 Median sales price: $700,000 (–28.6%)

📉 Average sales price: $1,311,671 (–6.6%)

📉 New listings: 127 (–8.6%)

📉 Closed sales: 56 (–5.1%)

📈 Pending sales: 54 (+3.8%)

📈 Active inventory: 884 condos (+30.0%)

📈 Average DOM: 125 days (+5.9%)

📈 Months of supply: 15.6 (+57.6%)

📉 % of list price received: 95.4% (–1.1%)

What it means:

Condos are leading the correction. But there’s movement—pending sales are up, signaling buyers are circling quality listings. Sellers who adapt to market expectations are seeing results.

🗓️ Year-to-Date Market Trends (Jan–June 2025)

📉 Single-family sales: Down 14.9%

📉 Condo sales: Down 28.8%

📈 Affordability: Improved, particularly in the condo market

🏠 The Maui Market Is Moving—But It’s Not Rushing

The market isn’t stalled—it’s simply more deliberate. Buyers have more choices and leverage than they’ve had in years. Sellers, in turn, must price with precision and plan for extended timelines. In this moment, preparation and presentation matter more than ever.

📰 What’s Shaping the Market Right Now?

🏝 Short-Term Rental Bill 9 Still Undecided

The Maui County Council began deliberations on Bill 9, which could phase out short-term rentals in apartment-zoned buildings (including Minatoya-listed properties). A vote was postponed after a closed executive session.

🔗 Read more: Maui Council Deliberates Bill 9 »

What this means:

Uncertainty is keeping buyers and sellers in a holding pattern in some areas. Clear representation and communication are key.

➡️ Learn about the Minatoya List »

➡️ Explore Legal STR Condos »

💼 New Tax Bill Supports Investors

A new federal tax bill passed in June includes:

  • Permanent mortgage interest deduction
  • Preservation of 1031 exchanges
  • Expanded SALT deduction caps

🔗 Read more: Senate Passes Real Estate Tax Bill »

What this means:

Buyers from high-tax states see more incentive to invest in Maui. 1031 exchanges and write-offs are a major driver in the luxury and investor markets.

➡️Read our 1031 Exchange Guide »

📉 Mortgage Rates Dip Slightly, but May Stay High

  • 30-year fixed dipped to 6.67% in late June
  • Rates projected to stay between 6.5% and 6.75% through 2025

🔗 AP News: Rates Dip to 6.67% »

🔗 Goldman Sachs Outlook »

What this means:

Even small dips spark buyer activity. Sellers must remain rate-conscious and lean into marketing and concessions.

➡️ Financing Strategies for Buyers »

📈 Strong U.S. Economy Keeps Rates Elevated

  • Treasury yields over 4.5%
  • Job growth and consumer confidence remain strong

🔗 AP News: Economic Snapshot »

🔻 More Price Cuts Across the U.S.

  • 1 in 5 U.S. listings had price reductions in May
  • Sellers offering rate buydowns and buyer incentives

🔗 MarketWatch: National Pricing Trends »

🔍 Final Takeaways

For Buyers:

✅ You have more options and leverage.

📉 Condo prices have dropped significantly.

🔑 Be ready to act when the right property surfaces

For Sellers:

⏳ Expect longer DOM unless priced aggressively.

📦 Staging, photography, and pricing strategy are key.

🎯 The luxury segment is still moving, especially with tax clarity and pre-approved buyers.

📞 Ready to Navigate This Market with Confidence?

This is a moment of opportunity, not panic. With the right strategy, buyers and sellers can both win.

📞 Call us today at 808-217-8832

📨 Or send us a message to get started.

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Welcome to The Maui Property Team at Compass, where our passion for the stunning island of Maui drives everything we do. Our foundation is built on a commitment to putting our clients first, ensuring their needs and aspirations are at the forefront of our operations.  Having sold hundreds of homes, Robert and his Maui Property team have grown to be one of Maui's Top Selling real estate teams. 

Our team consists of experienced brokers and agents who combine their expertise to deliver unparalleled service. As part of Compass, we stand out as forward-thinkers, leveraging the latest technology and integrated systems to elevate our services.

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Maui Property is a real estate team affiliated with The Maui Property Team. The Maui Property Team is a licensed real estate broker with a principal office in Maui, Hawaii, and abides by all applicable equal housing opportunity laws. All material presented herein is intended for informational purposes only. Information is compiled from reliable sources but is subject to errors, omissions, and changes in price, condition, sale, or withdrawal without notice. No statement is made as to the accuracy of any description. All measurements and square footages are approximate. This is not intended to solicit property already listed. Nothing herein shall be construed as legal, accounting, or other professional advice outside real estate brokerage.

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